**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on September 12, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that outcome.** Late-summer conditions featured elevated sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea and light steering winds that limited mixing, allowing peak readings at urban and suburban stations to reach this level under partly cloudy skies with high humidity. Historical September normals hover near 30–31°C, so the observed value aligns with the ongoing above-average temperature trend documented by the Observatory for the season. The 100% implied probability reflects traders incorporating verified station data rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or reclassification of the reporting station, both rare once preliminary figures are released.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,798 Vol.
$130,798 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,798 Vol.
$130,798 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,133 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,745 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,310 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$36,954 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$26,774 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$28,094 Vol.
100%
34°C
$7,215 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on September 12, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that outcome.** Late-summer conditions featured elevated sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea and light steering winds that limited mixing, allowing peak readings at urban and suburban stations to reach this level under partly cloudy skies with high humidity. Historical September normals hover near 30–31°C, so the observed value aligns with the ongoing above-average temperature trend documented by the Observatory for the season. The 100% implied probability reflects traders incorporating verified station data rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or reclassification of the reporting station, both rare once preliminary figures are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$130,798Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on September 12, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that outcome.** Late-summer conditions featured elevated sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea and light steering winds that limited mixing, allowing peak readings at urban and suburban stations to reach this level under partly cloudy skies with high humidity. Historical September normals hover near 30–31°C, so the observed value aligns with the ongoing above-average temperature trend documented by the Observatory for the season. The 100% implied probability reflects traders incorporating verified station data rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or reclassification of the reporting station, both rare once preliminary figures are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$130,798Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on September 12, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus at that outcome.** Late-summer conditions featured elevated sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea and light steering winds that limited mixing, allowing peak readings at urban and suburban stations to reach this level under partly cloudy skies with high humidity. Historical September normals hover near 30–31°C, so the observed value aligns with the ongoing above-average temperature trend documented by the Observatory for the season. The 100% implied probability reflects traders incorporating verified station data rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or reclassification of the reporting station, both rare once preliminary figures are released.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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