Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others indicate a highest temperature for Hong Kong on September 14 most likely in the 30–32°C range, consistent with September climatology near 31°C. Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant driver, advecting slightly cooler, drier air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds and moisture levels, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Official resolution will rely on Hong Kong Observatory station data, with traders weighing recent model runs showing limited intensification potential against the baseline risk of clearer skies allowing a brief push toward 32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
31°C 39%
32°C 31%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
39%
32°C
31%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 31%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$323 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$261 Vol.
2%
29°C
$235 Vol.
8%
30°C
$809 Vol.
19%
31°C
$142 Vol.
39%
32°C
$963 Vol.
31%
33°C
$178 Vol.
6%
34°C
$382 Vol.
2%
35°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others indicate a highest temperature for Hong Kong on September 14 most likely in the 30–32°C range, consistent with September climatology near 31°C. Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant driver, advecting slightly cooler, drier air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds and moisture levels, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Official resolution will rely on Hong Kong Observatory station data, with traders weighing recent model runs showing limited intensification potential against the baseline risk of clearer skies allowing a brief push toward 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,757Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others indicate a highest temperature for Hong Kong on September 14 most likely in the 30–32°C range, consistent with September climatology near 31°C. Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant driver, advecting slightly cooler, drier air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds and moisture levels, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Official resolution will rely on Hong Kong Observatory station data, with traders weighing recent model runs showing limited intensification potential against the baseline risk of clearer skies allowing a brief push toward 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,757Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and others indicate a highest temperature for Hong Kong on September 14 most likely in the 30–32°C range, consistent with September climatology near 31°C. Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant driver, advecting slightly cooler, drier air while increasing cloud cover and the chance of scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds and moisture levels, which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of any convective activity. Official resolution will rely on Hong Kong Observatory station data, with traders weighing recent model runs showing limited intensification potential against the baseline risk of clearer skies allowing a brief push toward 32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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