**Trader consensus has locked onto 17°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on September 12, 2026, reflecting alignment between official forecasts and real-time observations.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center projected daytime highs of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and near-normal pressure, matching the long-term average high of 17.1°C for the date. Multiple weather services reported afternoon readings peaking near 16–17°C (around 61°F), consistent with model consensus and climatological baselines. This strong convergence of verified data and live measurements underpins the near-100% market-implied probability. A realistic challenge could arise from final official post-processing if unrepresentative station data or brief microscale warming pushes the verified maximum to 18°C or caps it at 16°C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on September 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 12?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,886 Vol.
$21,886 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,886 Vol.
$21,886 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
$239 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$269 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$269 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,263 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,350 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,086 Vol.
100%
18°C
$3,718 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,616 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$527 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 17°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on September 12, 2026, reflecting alignment between official forecasts and real-time observations.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center projected daytime highs of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and near-normal pressure, matching the long-term average high of 17.1°C for the date. Multiple weather services reported afternoon readings peaking near 16–17°C (around 61°F), consistent with model consensus and climatological baselines. This strong convergence of verified data and live measurements underpins the near-100% market-implied probability. A realistic challenge could arise from final official post-processing if unrepresentative station data or brief microscale warming pushes the verified maximum to 18°C or caps it at 16°C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$21,886Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 17°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on September 12, 2026, reflecting alignment between official forecasts and real-time observations.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center projected daytime highs of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and near-normal pressure, matching the long-term average high of 17.1°C for the date. Multiple weather services reported afternoon readings peaking near 16–17°C (around 61°F), consistent with model consensus and climatological baselines. This strong convergence of verified data and live measurements underpins the near-100% market-implied probability. A realistic challenge could arise from final official post-processing if unrepresentative station data or brief microscale warming pushes the verified maximum to 18°C or caps it at 16°C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,886Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has locked onto 17°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on September 12, 2026, reflecting alignment between official forecasts and real-time observations.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center projected daytime highs of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and near-normal pressure, matching the long-term average high of 17.1°C for the date. Multiple weather services reported afternoon readings peaking near 16–17°C (around 61°F), consistent with model consensus and climatological baselines. This strong convergence of verified data and live measurements underpins the near-100% market-implied probability. A realistic challenge could arise from final official post-processing if unrepresentative station data or brief microscale warming pushes the verified maximum to 18°C or caps it at 16°C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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