**Current forecast consensus from GFS model runs and Météo-France guidance positions a daytime maximum near 25°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 12, 2026.** Light northwesterly winds, high pressure around 30.15 inches, and partly to mostly clear skies are allowing modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 22°C, with afternoon temperatures expected to peak in the mid-20s under stable conditions. Trader positioning, reflected in the 62.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C versus lower shares for 24°C and 26°C, aligns with this narrow range between official guidance and recent model consistency. Minor uncertainty remains around precise peak timing and localized cloud cover, which could shift the final reading by 1°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on September 12?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 12?
25°C 63%
26°C 19%
24°C 18%
23°C 3%
$26,324 Vol.
$26,324 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
63%
26°C
19%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 63%
26°C 19%
24°C 18%
23°C 3%
$26,324 Vol.
$26,324 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
20°C or below
$2,519 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,025 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,039 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,664 Vol.
3%
24°C
$4,734 Vol.
18%
25°C
$5,525 Vol.
63%
26°C
$5,432 Vol.
19%
27°C
$1,876 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,339 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$941 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from GFS model runs and Météo-France guidance positions a daytime maximum near 25°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 12, 2026.** Light northwesterly winds, high pressure around 30.15 inches, and partly to mostly clear skies are allowing modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 22°C, with afternoon temperatures expected to peak in the mid-20s under stable conditions. Trader positioning, reflected in the 62.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C versus lower shares for 24°C and 26°C, aligns with this narrow range between official guidance and recent model consistency. Minor uncertainty remains around precise peak timing and localized cloud cover, which could shift the final reading by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$26,324Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from GFS model runs and Météo-France guidance positions a daytime maximum near 25°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 12, 2026.** Light northwesterly winds, high pressure around 30.15 inches, and partly to mostly clear skies are allowing modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 22°C, with afternoon temperatures expected to peak in the mid-20s under stable conditions. Trader positioning, reflected in the 62.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C versus lower shares for 24°C and 26°C, aligns with this narrow range between official guidance and recent model consistency. Minor uncertainty remains around precise peak timing and localized cloud cover, which could shift the final reading by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,324Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from GFS model runs and Météo-France guidance positions a daytime maximum near 25°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 12, 2026.** Light northwesterly winds, high pressure around 30.15 inches, and partly to mostly clear skies are allowing modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 22°C, with afternoon temperatures expected to peak in the mid-20s under stable conditions. Trader positioning, reflected in the 62.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C versus lower shares for 24°C and 26°C, aligns with this narrow range between official guidance and recent model consistency. Minor uncertainty remains around precise peak timing and localized cloud cover, which could shift the final reading by 1°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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