Recent model consensus from GFS and similar systems points to a September 14 high near 27–28°C in Paris under persistent high pressure, with light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate warming above the 21.7°C climatological average without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities place 27°C in the lead at 37% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 26°C and 28°C capture remaining spread from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer details. Stable synoptic patterns through the short-range window limit upside potential beyond 29°C, keeping lower outcomes as low-probability tails. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak-temperature resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on September 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 14?
27°C 37%
26°C 27%
28°C 24%
29°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
37%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 27%
28°C 24%
29°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$103 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$118 Vol.
7%
26°C
$821 Vol.
27%
27°C
$296 Vol.
37%
28°C
$666 Vol.
24%
29°C
$521 Vol.
8%
30°C
$80 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$118 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and similar systems points to a September 14 high near 27–28°C in Paris under persistent high pressure, with light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate warming above the 21.7°C climatological average without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities place 27°C in the lead at 37% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 26°C and 28°C capture remaining spread from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer details. Stable synoptic patterns through the short-range window limit upside potential beyond 29°C, keeping lower outcomes as low-probability tails. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak-temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,728Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and similar systems points to a September 14 high near 27–28°C in Paris under persistent high pressure, with light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate warming above the 21.7°C climatological average without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities place 27°C in the lead at 37% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 26°C and 28°C capture remaining spread from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer details. Stable synoptic patterns through the short-range window limit upside potential beyond 29°C, keeping lower outcomes as low-probability tails. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak-temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,728Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and similar systems points to a September 14 high near 27–28°C in Paris under persistent high pressure, with light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate warming above the 21.7°C climatological average without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader-implied probabilities place 27°C in the lead at 37% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 26°C and 28°C capture remaining spread from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer details. Stable synoptic patterns through the short-range window limit upside potential beyond 29°C, keeping lower outcomes as low-probability tails. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine peak-temperature resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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