Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 23°C in Istanbul on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and modest humidity around 50-65%. This positions 22°C and 23°C as the leading market outcomes, with traders weighting the slight downward bias in some ensemble members and potential for localized cooling near the Bosphorus. September climatology shows average highs of 23-25°C, providing context for the tight distribution, while low probabilities for extremes reflect stable synoptic patterns without significant warm or cold advection. Official station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once finalized.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
22°C 66%
23°C 20%
21°C 15%
24°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
15%
22°C
66%
23°C
20%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 66%
23°C 20%
21°C 15%
24°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
$203 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$353 Vol.
1%
20°C
$290 Vol.
2%
21°C
$322 Vol.
15%
22°C
$790 Vol.
66%
23°C
$520 Vol.
20%
24°C
$196 Vol.
2%
25°C
$290 Vol.
1%
26°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$203 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 23°C in Istanbul on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and modest humidity around 50-65%. This positions 22°C and 23°C as the leading market outcomes, with traders weighting the slight downward bias in some ensemble members and potential for localized cooling near the Bosphorus. September climatology shows average highs of 23-25°C, providing context for the tight distribution, while low probabilities for extremes reflect stable synoptic patterns without significant warm or cold advection. Official station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,422Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 23°C in Istanbul on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and modest humidity around 50-65%. This positions 22°C and 23°C as the leading market outcomes, with traders weighting the slight downward bias in some ensemble members and potential for localized cooling near the Bosphorus. September climatology shows average highs of 23-25°C, providing context for the tight distribution, while low probabilities for extremes reflect stable synoptic patterns without significant warm or cold advection. Official station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,422Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 23°C in Istanbul on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and modest humidity around 50-65%. This positions 22°C and 23°C as the leading market outcomes, with traders weighting the slight downward bias in some ensemble members and potential for localized cooling near the Bosphorus. September climatology shows average highs of 23-25°C, providing context for the tight distribution, while low probabilities for extremes reflect stable synoptic patterns without significant warm or cold advection. Official station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once finalized.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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