Forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Mild maritime air from the Sea of Marmara and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual moisture keep temperatures from falling sharply, consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows range 17–20 °C. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact nadir, with some guidance hinting at brief dips near 18 °C while others hold above 19 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 15–20 °C thresholds and the relatively low odds assigned to extremes above 21 °C or below 16 °C. Updated evening observations and final station readings will resolve the precise value.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
15°C or below 93%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
18°C 90%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
93%
16°C
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
90%
19°C
47%
20°C
47%
21°C
19%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 93%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
18°C 90%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
93%
16°C
$32 Vol.
90%
17°C
$132 Vol.
90%
18°C
$157 Vol.
90%
19°C
$7 Vol.
47%
20°C
$7 Vol.
47%
21°C
$5 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Mild maritime air from the Sea of Marmara and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual moisture keep temperatures from falling sharply, consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows range 17–20 °C. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact nadir, with some guidance hinting at brief dips near 18 °C while others hold above 19 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 15–20 °C thresholds and the relatively low odds assigned to extremes above 21 °C or below 16 °C. Updated evening observations and final station readings will resolve the precise value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$386Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Mild maritime air from the Sea of Marmara and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual moisture keep temperatures from falling sharply, consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows range 17–20 °C. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact nadir, with some guidance hinting at brief dips near 18 °C while others hold above 19 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 15–20 °C thresholds and the relatively low odds assigned to extremes above 21 °C or below 16 °C. Updated evening observations and final station readings will resolve the precise value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$386Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Mild maritime air from the Sea of Marmara and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual moisture keep temperatures from falling sharply, consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows range 17–20 °C. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact nadir, with some guidance hinting at brief dips near 18 °C while others hold above 19 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 15–20 °C thresholds and the relatively low odds assigned to extremes above 21 °C or below 16 °C. Updated evening observations and final station readings will resolve the precise value.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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