**Market-implied odds favor 32°C as the day's peak temperature in Madrid, driven by consensus forecasts from AEMET and numerical models projecting a high of 31–32°C under clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds.** Current observations show morning temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius rising steadily toward afternoon maxima, consistent with late-summer climatology where the long-term average high is 27.3°C. Model agreement remains high with minimal spread, supporting the elevated probability for 32°C while assigning lower weight to 33°C or cooler outcomes. Official AEMET guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution as the day concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on September 12?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 12?
32°C 76%
31°C 15%
33°C 10%
30°C <1%
$27,361 Vol.
$27,361 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
15%
32°C
76%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 76%
31°C 15%
33°C 10%
30°C <1%
$27,361 Vol.
$27,361 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
$692 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,058 Vol.
1%
31°C
$7,647 Vol.
15%
32°C
$8,190 Vol.
76%
33°C
$6,893 Vol.
10%
34°C
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$264 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor 32°C as the day's peak temperature in Madrid, driven by consensus forecasts from AEMET and numerical models projecting a high of 31–32°C under clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds.** Current observations show morning temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius rising steadily toward afternoon maxima, consistent with late-summer climatology where the long-term average high is 27.3°C. Model agreement remains high with minimal spread, supporting the elevated probability for 32°C while assigning lower weight to 33°C or cooler outcomes. Official AEMET guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$27,361Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor 32°C as the day's peak temperature in Madrid, driven by consensus forecasts from AEMET and numerical models projecting a high of 31–32°C under clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds.** Current observations show morning temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius rising steadily toward afternoon maxima, consistent with late-summer climatology where the long-term average high is 27.3°C. Model agreement remains high with minimal spread, supporting the elevated probability for 32°C while assigning lower weight to 33°C or cooler outcomes. Official AEMET guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,361Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor 32°C as the day's peak temperature in Madrid, driven by consensus forecasts from AEMET and numerical models projecting a high of 31–32°C under clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds.** Current observations show morning temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius rising steadily toward afternoon maxima, consistent with late-summer climatology where the long-term average high is 27.3°C. Model agreement remains high with minimal spread, supporting the elevated probability for 32°C while assigning lower weight to 33°C or cooler outcomes. Official AEMET guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution as the day concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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