The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for September 10 projects a daily maximum of 31°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon, with sunny periods, dry daytime conditions, and only isolated early showers. This places the market-implied probability for 31°C (43.5%) at the center of current trader consensus, followed by 30°C (32.5%) and 32°C (18.0%). Recent model runs and climatological norms for early September support a narrow range around these values, as monsoon flow typically caps daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and moisture. Minor forecast revisions from updated HKO guidance or local mesoscale variations could shift the exact peak by 1°C, but the current data release reinforces the tight clustering around 30–32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
31°C 44%
30°C 33%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
33%
31°C
44%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 33%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
26°C or below
$523 Vol.
1%
27°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$562 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,162 Vol.
6%
30°C
$1,020 Vol.
33%
31°C
$307 Vol.
44%
32°C
$1,102 Vol.
19%
33°C
$618 Vol.
3%
34°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for September 10 projects a daily maximum of 31°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon, with sunny periods, dry daytime conditions, and only isolated early showers. This places the market-implied probability for 31°C (43.5%) at the center of current trader consensus, followed by 30°C (32.5%) and 32°C (18.0%). Recent model runs and climatological norms for early September support a narrow range around these values, as monsoon flow typically caps daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and moisture. Minor forecast revisions from updated HKO guidance or local mesoscale variations could shift the exact peak by 1°C, but the current data release reinforces the tight clustering around 30–32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,991Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for September 10 projects a daily maximum of 31°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon, with sunny periods, dry daytime conditions, and only isolated early showers. This places the market-implied probability for 31°C (43.5%) at the center of current trader consensus, followed by 30°C (32.5%) and 32°C (18.0%). Recent model runs and climatological norms for early September support a narrow range around these values, as monsoon flow typically caps daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and moisture. Minor forecast revisions from updated HKO guidance or local mesoscale variations could shift the exact peak by 1°C, but the current data release reinforces the tight clustering around 30–32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,991Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for September 10 projects a daily maximum of 31°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon, with sunny periods, dry daytime conditions, and only isolated early showers. This places the market-implied probability for 31°C (43.5%) at the center of current trader consensus, followed by 30°C (32.5%) and 32°C (18.0%). Recent model runs and climatological norms for early September support a narrow range around these values, as monsoon flow typically caps daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and moisture. Minor forecast revisions from updated HKO guidance or local mesoscale variations could shift the exact peak by 1°C, but the current data release reinforces the tight clustering around 30–32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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