Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall forecast for September 9 are suppressing maximum temperatures in Chengdu by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official guidance and model consensus point to a high near 24–25°C under heavy rain or thunderstorms, with northeast winds around 8–15 km/h maintaining humid conditions near 85%. Trader emphasis on 26–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rain timing and potential brief clear spells that could allow modest warming, while historical September baselines near 26–28°C provide context for the slight upward skew in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the peak value before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
25°C 14%
28°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
14%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
25°C 14%
28°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$30 Vol.
2%
22°C
$156 Vol.
2%
23°C
$330 Vol.
2%
24°C
$351 Vol.
6%
25°C
$452 Vol.
14%
26°C
$240 Vol.
28%
27°C
$1,074 Vol.
30%
28°C
$494 Vol.
14%
29°C
$322 Vol.
4%
30°C
$262 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$211 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall forecast for September 9 are suppressing maximum temperatures in Chengdu by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official guidance and model consensus point to a high near 24–25°C under heavy rain or thunderstorms, with northeast winds around 8–15 km/h maintaining humid conditions near 85%. Trader emphasis on 26–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rain timing and potential brief clear spells that could allow modest warming, while historical September baselines near 26–28°C provide context for the slight upward skew in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the peak value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,922Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall forecast for September 9 are suppressing maximum temperatures in Chengdu by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official guidance and model consensus point to a high near 24–25°C under heavy rain or thunderstorms, with northeast winds around 8–15 km/h maintaining humid conditions near 85%. Trader emphasis on 26–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rain timing and potential brief clear spells that could allow modest warming, while historical September baselines near 26–28°C provide context for the slight upward skew in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the peak value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,922Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall forecast for September 9 are suppressing maximum temperatures in Chengdu by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official guidance and model consensus point to a high near 24–25°C under heavy rain or thunderstorms, with northeast winds around 8–15 km/h maintaining humid conditions near 85%. Trader emphasis on 26–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rain timing and potential brief clear spells that could allow modest warming, while historical September baselines near 26–28°C provide context for the slight upward skew in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the peak value before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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