Heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chengdu on September 9 are the main drivers behind trader sentiment favoring a minimum near 19–21 °C. Multiple models, including those referenced by the Met Office and local agencies, indicate thunderstorms or heavy rain coinciding with daytime highs of 23–25 °C, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling while maintaining high humidity that moderates overnight temperature drops. This follows several warmer, drier days and aligns with early-September climatology of 18–22 °C lows under similar synoptic patterns. Model spread on exact timing and intensity of the rain creates the tight clustering of probabilities around 19–22 °C, with fresh observational data or updated runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
21°C 32%
20°C 29%
22°C 27%
19°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
24%
19°C
25%
20°C
29%
21°C
32%
22°C
27%
23°C
25%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 32%
20°C 29%
22°C 27%
19°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
$25 Vol.
3%
17°C
$37 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
24%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
29%
21°C
$0 Vol.
32%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$10 Vol.
6%
25°C
$150 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$80 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chengdu on September 9 are the main drivers behind trader sentiment favoring a minimum near 19–21 °C. Multiple models, including those referenced by the Met Office and local agencies, indicate thunderstorms or heavy rain coinciding with daytime highs of 23–25 °C, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling while maintaining high humidity that moderates overnight temperature drops. This follows several warmer, drier days and aligns with early-September climatology of 18–22 °C lows under similar synoptic patterns. Model spread on exact timing and intensity of the rain creates the tight clustering of probabilities around 19–22 °C, with fresh observational data or updated runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$301Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chengdu on September 9 are the main drivers behind trader sentiment favoring a minimum near 19–21 °C. Multiple models, including those referenced by the Met Office and local agencies, indicate thunderstorms or heavy rain coinciding with daytime highs of 23–25 °C, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling while maintaining high humidity that moderates overnight temperature drops. This follows several warmer, drier days and aligns with early-September climatology of 18–22 °C lows under similar synoptic patterns. Model spread on exact timing and intensity of the rain creates the tight clustering of probabilities around 19–22 °C, with fresh observational data or updated runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$301Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chengdu on September 9 are the main drivers behind trader sentiment favoring a minimum near 19–21 °C. Multiple models, including those referenced by the Met Office and local agencies, indicate thunderstorms or heavy rain coinciding with daytime highs of 23–25 °C, limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling while maintaining high humidity that moderates overnight temperature drops. This follows several warmer, drier days and aligns with early-September climatology of 18–22 °C lows under similar synoptic patterns. Model spread on exact timing and intensity of the rain creates the tight clustering of probabilities around 19–22 °C, with fresh observational data or updated runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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