Recent observational data from Warsaw weather stations and forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature stabilizing near 20°C on September 10, 2026, driven by moderating westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a shift from the prior day's warmer high-pressure system that produced a 29.2°C peak. Official monitoring shows afternoon readings holding at 18–19°C amid light precipitation chances and stable pressure around 1013–1016 hPa, aligning with seasonal September averages near 18°C while reflecting cooler advection. This evidence underpins the market's 99.5% implied probability for 20°C as the resolution threshold. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or final hourly station reports, though model consensus and current trends make significant shifts above 21°C or below 19°C unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
20°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
$126,005 Vol.
$126,005 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
$126,005 Vol.
$126,005 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
15°C or below
$4,355 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$9,741 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$19,694 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$26,551 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$44,286 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$13,024 Vol.
99%
21°C
$5,343 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,843 Vol.
1%
23°C
$595 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$372 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Warsaw weather stations and forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature stabilizing near 20°C on September 10, 2026, driven by moderating westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a shift from the prior day's warmer high-pressure system that produced a 29.2°C peak. Official monitoring shows afternoon readings holding at 18–19°C amid light precipitation chances and stable pressure around 1013–1016 hPa, aligning with seasonal September averages near 18°C while reflecting cooler advection. This evidence underpins the market's 99.5% implied probability for 20°C as the resolution threshold. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or final hourly station reports, though model consensus and current trends make significant shifts above 21°C or below 19°C unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$126,005Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Warsaw weather stations and forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature stabilizing near 20°C on September 10, 2026, driven by moderating westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a shift from the prior day's warmer high-pressure system that produced a 29.2°C peak. Official monitoring shows afternoon readings holding at 18–19°C amid light precipitation chances and stable pressure around 1013–1016 hPa, aligning with seasonal September averages near 18°C while reflecting cooler advection. This evidence underpins the market's 99.5% implied probability for 20°C as the resolution threshold. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or final hourly station reports, though model consensus and current trends make significant shifts above 21°C or below 19°C unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$126,005Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from Warsaw weather stations and forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature stabilizing near 20°C on September 10, 2026, driven by moderating westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and a shift from the prior day's warmer high-pressure system that produced a 29.2°C peak. Official monitoring shows afternoon readings holding at 18–19°C amid light precipitation chances and stable pressure around 1013–1016 hPa, aligning with seasonal September averages near 18°C while reflecting cooler advection. This evidence underpins the market's 99.5% implied probability for 20°C as the resolution threshold. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or final hourly station reports, though model consensus and current trends make significant shifts above 21°C or below 19°C unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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