Recent official and model forecasts for Shanghai on September 10 point to a high near 28–29°C under northerly to northeasterly flow, light showers, and moderate humidity, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 46.5% and 28.5%. Numerical guidance, including GFS runs and local meteorological agency outlooks, consistently shows daytime maxima in this narrow range, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 27–28°C, and the current setup lacks the southerly advection or clear skies needed for 30°C or higher, keeping those probabilities below 5%. Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to rain timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
28°C 47%
29°C 29%
27°C 22%
30°C 4%
BARU
$29,126 Vol.
BARU
$29,126 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
22%
28°C
47%
29°C
29%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
29°C 29%
27°C 22%
30°C 4%
BARU
$29,126 Vol.
BARU
$29,126 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
25°C or below
$714 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,445 Vol.
3%
27°C
$8,622 Vol.
22%
28°C
$3,840 Vol.
47%
29°C
$7,409 Vol.
29%
30°C
$2,543 Vol.
4%
31°C
$783 Vol.
1%
32°C
$623 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$857 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model forecasts for Shanghai on September 10 point to a high near 28–29°C under northerly to northeasterly flow, light showers, and moderate humidity, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 46.5% and 28.5%. Numerical guidance, including GFS runs and local meteorological agency outlooks, consistently shows daytime maxima in this narrow range, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 27–28°C, and the current setup lacks the southerly advection or clear skies needed for 30°C or higher, keeping those probabilities below 5%. Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to rain timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$29,126Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model forecasts for Shanghai on September 10 point to a high near 28–29°C under northerly to northeasterly flow, light showers, and moderate humidity, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 46.5% and 28.5%. Numerical guidance, including GFS runs and local meteorological agency outlooks, consistently shows daytime maxima in this narrow range, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 27–28°C, and the current setup lacks the southerly advection or clear skies needed for 30°C or higher, keeping those probabilities below 5%. Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to rain timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,126Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and model forecasts for Shanghai on September 10 point to a high near 28–29°C under northerly to northeasterly flow, light showers, and moderate humidity, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 46.5% and 28.5%. Numerical guidance, including GFS runs and local meteorological agency outlooks, consistently shows daytime maxima in this narrow range, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting further warming while preventing sharp cooling. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 27–28°C, and the current setup lacks the southerly advection or clear skies needed for 30°C or higher, keeping those probabilities below 5%. Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to rain timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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