Persistent late-summer heat across North Texas, driven by strong high pressure and southerly flow, produced observed highs of 100–102°F at Dallas-area stations on September 8, aligning closely with National Weather Service measurements of 102°F at DFW. Multiple forecast models and climatological analogs from recent heat waves supported expectations of peak readings near the upper end of the 100–101°F range before final verification. With the market-implied probability at essentially 100% for that bin, trader consensus reflects verified observational data and the low likelihood of rapid cooling or measurement revision. Only an unprecedented late-day temperature drop or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift resolution outside this outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on September 8?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 8?
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$38,154 Vol.
$38,154 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
91°F or below
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$38,154 Vol.
$38,154 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
91°F or below
$1,605 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$414 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$1,174 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$1,486 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$10,955 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$7,323 Vol.
Yes
102-103°F
$4,709 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$8,408 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$1,024 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$858 Vol.
No
110°F or higher
$199 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat across North Texas, driven by strong high pressure and southerly flow, produced observed highs of 100–102°F at Dallas-area stations on September 8, aligning closely with National Weather Service measurements of 102°F at DFW. Multiple forecast models and climatological analogs from recent heat waves supported expectations of peak readings near the upper end of the 100–101°F range before final verification. With the market-implied probability at essentially 100% for that bin, trader consensus reflects verified observational data and the low likelihood of rapid cooling or measurement revision. Only an unprecedented late-day temperature drop or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift resolution outside this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$38,154Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat across North Texas, driven by strong high pressure and southerly flow, produced observed highs of 100–102°F at Dallas-area stations on September 8, aligning closely with National Weather Service measurements of 102°F at DFW. Multiple forecast models and climatological analogs from recent heat waves supported expectations of peak readings near the upper end of the 100–101°F range before final verification. With the market-implied probability at essentially 100% for that bin, trader consensus reflects verified observational data and the low likelihood of rapid cooling or measurement revision. Only an unprecedented late-day temperature drop or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift resolution outside this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,154Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Persistent late-summer heat across North Texas, driven by strong high pressure and southerly flow, produced observed highs of 100–102°F at Dallas-area stations on September 8, aligning closely with National Weather Service measurements of 102°F at DFW. Multiple forecast models and climatological analogs from recent heat waves supported expectations of peak readings near the upper end of the 100–101°F range before final verification. With the market-implied probability at essentially 100% for that bin, trader consensus reflects verified observational data and the low likelihood of rapid cooling or measurement revision. Only an unprecedented late-day temperature drop or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift resolution outside this outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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