Clear skies and southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a daytime maximum near 29°C on September 9, consistent with GFS and other model guidance showing afternoon readings of 28–29°C under low humidity and light winds. Recent observations from nearby stations recorded 28.1°C on September 8, aligning with the current warm-air advection and minimal cloud cover that favor modest further warming without exceeding typical late-summer norms. Market-implied odds concentrate on 29°C and 30°C because ensemble forecasts exhibit little spread around these values, with only small upside risk from localized heating or minor model revisions before evening cooling sets in.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
29°C 67%
30°C 21%
28°C 7%
31°C 2%
$22,331 Vol.
$22,331 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
67%
30°C
21%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 67%
30°C 21%
28°C 7%
31°C 2%
$22,331 Vol.
$22,331 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
$421 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$949 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,934 Vol.
7%
29°C
$5,453 Vol.
67%
30°C
$2,943 Vol.
21%
31°C
$2,511 Vol.
2%
32°C
$741 Vol.
1%
33°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,645 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a daytime maximum near 29°C on September 9, consistent with GFS and other model guidance showing afternoon readings of 28–29°C under low humidity and light winds. Recent observations from nearby stations recorded 28.1°C on September 8, aligning with the current warm-air advection and minimal cloud cover that favor modest further warming without exceeding typical late-summer norms. Market-implied odds concentrate on 29°C and 30°C because ensemble forecasts exhibit little spread around these values, with only small upside risk from localized heating or minor model revisions before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$22,331Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a daytime maximum near 29°C on September 9, consistent with GFS and other model guidance showing afternoon readings of 28–29°C under low humidity and light winds. Recent observations from nearby stations recorded 28.1°C on September 8, aligning with the current warm-air advection and minimal cloud cover that favor modest further warming without exceeding typical late-summer norms. Market-implied odds concentrate on 29°C and 30°C because ensemble forecasts exhibit little spread around these values, with only small upside risk from localized heating or minor model revisions before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,331Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a daytime maximum near 29°C on September 9, consistent with GFS and other model guidance showing afternoon readings of 28–29°C under low humidity and light winds. Recent observations from nearby stations recorded 28.1°C on September 8, aligning with the current warm-air advection and minimal cloud cover that favor modest further warming without exceeding typical late-summer norms. Market-implied odds concentrate on 29°C and 30°C because ensemble forecasts exhibit little spread around these values, with only small upside risk from localized heating or minor model revisions before evening cooling sets in.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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