**Trader consensus strongly favors 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Warsaw on September 9, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects aggregated real-money positioning aligned with official meteorological observations showing a daily minimum of approximately 15.2°C. Station data from Warsaw (e.g., Warszawa monitoring sites) recorded the overnight low near 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, following a daytime high of 29°C. Atmospheric conditions featured moderate pressure and typical early-September radiative cooling overnight, without significant cold advection or cloud cover that would suppress the minimum. Historical September baselines for the region average around 14°C for minima, placing the observed value slightly above normal but consistent with recent warmer patterns. Realistic challenges remain limited. A revised station reading, measurement at a non-standard site, or unexpected microclimate effect could theoretically shift the recorded low by 1°C, but multiple independent sources converge on the 15°C threshold with minimal divergence in model outputs or observations. The market’s extreme concentration indicates traders view such outliers as improbable given the data consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$2,306 Vol.
$2,306 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$2,306 Vol.
$2,306 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
11°C or below
$110 Vol.
No
12°C
$89 Vol.
No
13°C
$66 Vol.
No
14°C
$147 Vol.
No
15°C
$558 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$159 Vol.
No
17°C
$351 Vol.
No
18°C
$229 Vol.
No
19°C
$197 Vol.
No
20°C
$155 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$246 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Warsaw on September 9, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects aggregated real-money positioning aligned with official meteorological observations showing a daily minimum of approximately 15.2°C.
Station data from Warsaw (e.g., Warszawa monitoring sites) recorded the overnight low near 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, following a daytime high of 29°C. Atmospheric conditions featured moderate pressure and typical early-September radiative cooling overnight, without significant cold advection or cloud cover that would suppress the minimum. Historical September baselines for the region average around 14°C for minima, placing the observed value slightly above normal but consistent with recent warmer patterns.
Realistic challenges remain limited. A revised station reading, measurement at a non-standard site, or unexpected microclimate effect could theoretically shift the recorded low by 1°C, but multiple independent sources converge on the 15°C threshold with minimal divergence in model outputs or observations. The market’s extreme concentration indicates traders view such outliers as improbable given the data consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,306Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Warsaw on September 9, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects aggregated real-money positioning aligned with official meteorological observations showing a daily minimum of approximately 15.2°C.
Station data from Warsaw (e.g., Warszawa monitoring sites) recorded the overnight low near 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, following a daytime high of 29°C. Atmospheric conditions featured moderate pressure and typical early-September radiative cooling overnight, without significant cold advection or cloud cover that would suppress the minimum. Historical September baselines for the region average around 14°C for minima, placing the observed value slightly above normal but consistent with recent warmer patterns.
Realistic challenges remain limited. A revised station reading, measurement at a non-standard site, or unexpected microclimate effect could theoretically shift the recorded low by 1°C, but multiple independent sources converge on the 15°C threshold with minimal divergence in model outputs or observations. The market’s extreme concentration indicates traders view such outliers as improbable given the data consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,306Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Warsaw on September 9, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects aggregated real-money positioning aligned with official meteorological observations showing a daily minimum of approximately 15.2°C. Station data from Warsaw (e.g., Warszawa monitoring sites) recorded the overnight low near 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, following a daytime high of 29°C. Atmospheric conditions featured moderate pressure and typical early-September radiative cooling overnight, without significant cold advection or cloud cover that would suppress the minimum. Historical September baselines for the region average around 14°C for minima, placing the observed value slightly above normal but consistent with recent warmer patterns. Realistic challenges remain limited. A revised station reading, measurement at a non-standard site, or unexpected microclimate effect could theoretically shift the recorded low by 1°C, but multiple independent sources converge on the 15°C threshold with minimal divergence in model outputs or observations. The market’s extreme concentration indicates traders view such outliers as improbable given the data consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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