Recent official forecasts from NOAA-affiliated sources indicate San Francisco will reach a daily high near 70°F on September 13, 2026, under sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate west-northwest winds. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F bin at 56% implied probability and the closely trailing 68-69°F outcome. Typical late-summer marine influence and seasonal averages around 70.8°F provide climatological support, while hourly observations show temperatures climbing steadily into the upper 60s midday without exceeding model consensus. Traders appear to weigh these verified measurements and short-range model agreement heavily, with low probabilities assigned to extremes reflecting minimal deviation risk on this date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 13?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 13?
70-71°F 56%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 5%
72-73°F 5%
$17,318 Vol.
$17,318 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
56%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 56%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 5%
72-73°F 5%
$17,318 Vol.
$17,318 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
61°F or below
$1,333 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,290 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$274 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$623 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$3,132 Vol.
37%
70-71°F
$4,797 Vol.
56%
72-73°F
$1,708 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$678 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$1,429 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,834 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$221 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from NOAA-affiliated sources indicate San Francisco will reach a daily high near 70°F on September 13, 2026, under sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate west-northwest winds. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F bin at 56% implied probability and the closely trailing 68-69°F outcome. Typical late-summer marine influence and seasonal averages around 70.8°F provide climatological support, while hourly observations show temperatures climbing steadily into the upper 60s midday without exceeding model consensus. Traders appear to weigh these verified measurements and short-range model agreement heavily, with low probabilities assigned to extremes reflecting minimal deviation risk on this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,318Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from NOAA-affiliated sources indicate San Francisco will reach a daily high near 70°F on September 13, 2026, under sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate west-northwest winds. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F bin at 56% implied probability and the closely trailing 68-69°F outcome. Typical late-summer marine influence and seasonal averages around 70.8°F provide climatological support, while hourly observations show temperatures climbing steadily into the upper 60s midday without exceeding model consensus. Traders appear to weigh these verified measurements and short-range model agreement heavily, with low probabilities assigned to extremes reflecting minimal deviation risk on this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,318Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from NOAA-affiliated sources indicate San Francisco will reach a daily high near 70°F on September 13, 2026, under sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate west-northwest winds. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F bin at 56% implied probability and the closely trailing 68-69°F outcome. Typical late-summer marine influence and seasonal averages around 70.8°F provide climatological support, while hourly observations show temperatures climbing steadily into the upper 60s midday without exceeding model consensus. Traders appear to weigh these verified measurements and short-range model agreement heavily, with low probabilities assigned to extremes reflecting minimal deviation risk on this date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan