Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, position 26°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s September 14 maximum, with ensemble guidance showing northwest flow, partly cloudy skies, and a high near 26–27°C under stable high pressure. Recent observations confirm moderating early-autumn conditions across the Seoul metropolitan area, with no significant frontal systems or moisture advection expected to alter the thermal profile. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% implied probability for 26°C aligns with this model consensus, while the combined 45.5% on 25°C and 27°C captures remaining spread in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating. Updated model cycles and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
26°C 51%
27°C 25%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
51%
27°C
25%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
27°C 25%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$538 Vol.
1%
21°C
$151 Vol.
1%
22°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$91 Vol.
4%
24°C
$196 Vol.
5%
25°C
$213 Vol.
18%
26°C
$1,189 Vol.
51%
27°C
$255 Vol.
25%
28°C
$107 Vol.
5%
29°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$77 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, position 26°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s September 14 maximum, with ensemble guidance showing northwest flow, partly cloudy skies, and a high near 26–27°C under stable high pressure. Recent observations confirm moderating early-autumn conditions across the Seoul metropolitan area, with no significant frontal systems or moisture advection expected to alter the thermal profile. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% implied probability for 26°C aligns with this model consensus, while the combined 45.5% on 25°C and 27°C captures remaining spread in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating. Updated model cycles and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,640Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, position 26°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s September 14 maximum, with ensemble guidance showing northwest flow, partly cloudy skies, and a high near 26–27°C under stable high pressure. Recent observations confirm moderating early-autumn conditions across the Seoul metropolitan area, with no significant frontal systems or moisture advection expected to alter the thermal profile. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% implied probability for 26°C aligns with this model consensus, while the combined 45.5% on 25°C and 27°C captures remaining spread in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating. Updated model cycles and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,640Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, position 26°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s September 14 maximum, with ensemble guidance showing northwest flow, partly cloudy skies, and a high near 26–27°C under stable high pressure. Recent observations confirm moderating early-autumn conditions across the Seoul metropolitan area, with no significant frontal systems or moisture advection expected to alter the thermal profile. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% implied probability for 26°C aligns with this model consensus, while the combined 45.5% on 25°C and 27°C captures remaining spread in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating. Updated model cycles and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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