**Latest meteorological forecasts for Incheon and Seoul point to a minimum temperature of 19–20°C on September 14, driven by an overcast to partly cloudy regime and light northwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Persistent cloud cover reduces outgoing longwave radiation, while stable high pressure maintains a mild maritime air mass with dew points supporting limited temperature drops. Ensemble guidance shows strong consensus around these values, with minimal spread from model runs, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region (average lows near 18°C). No significant frontal passages or typhoon influences are expected overnight, keeping the probability of cooler outcomes (18°C or below) low. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
19°C 51%
20°C 37%
18°C 9%
17°C 3%
$11,060 Vol.
$11,060 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
51%
20°C
37%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 51%
20°C 37%
18°C 9%
17°C 3%
$11,060 Vol.
$11,060 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
51%
20°C
37%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest meteorological forecasts for Incheon and Seoul point to a minimum temperature of 19–20°C on September 14, driven by an overcast to partly cloudy regime and light northwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Persistent cloud cover reduces outgoing longwave radiation, while stable high pressure maintains a mild maritime air mass with dew points supporting limited temperature drops. Ensemble guidance shows strong consensus around these values, with minimal spread from model runs, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region (average lows near 18°C). No significant frontal passages or typhoon influences are expected overnight, keeping the probability of cooler outcomes (18°C or below) low. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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