Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate a nighttime low near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and high humidity near 80–90 percent, consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome. Subtropical monsoon patterns and urban heat retention typically limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums close to the 1991–2020 average low of 24.2°C, though scattered showers may enhance cloud cover and moderate further drops. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast spread alongside historical variability, where September 15 lows have ranged from the 19.8°C record to recent values near 23–25°C. Model consensus remains stable ahead of the day’s resolution, with any unexpected clear-sky intensification of cooling or measurement-site differences representing the main variables that could shift probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15?
20°C or below 61%
30°C or higher 61%
26°C 42%
22°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
20°C or below
61%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
36%
27°C
22%
28°C
18%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
61%
20°C or below 61%
30°C or higher 61%
26°C 42%
22°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
61%
21°C
$10 Vol.
13%
22°C
$10 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$12 Vol.
36%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$20 Vol.
18%
29°C
$10 Vol.
17%
30°C or higher
$10 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate a nighttime low near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and high humidity near 80–90 percent, consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome. Subtropical monsoon patterns and urban heat retention typically limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums close to the 1991–2020 average low of 24.2°C, though scattered showers may enhance cloud cover and moderate further drops. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast spread alongside historical variability, where September 15 lows have ranged from the 19.8°C record to recent values near 23–25°C. Model consensus remains stable ahead of the day’s resolution, with any unexpected clear-sky intensification of cooling or measurement-site differences representing the main variables that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$82Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate a nighttime low near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and high humidity near 80–90 percent, consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome. Subtropical monsoon patterns and urban heat retention typically limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums close to the 1991–2020 average low of 24.2°C, though scattered showers may enhance cloud cover and moderate further drops. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast spread alongside historical variability, where September 15 lows have ranged from the 19.8°C record to recent values near 23–25°C. Model consensus remains stable ahead of the day’s resolution, with any unexpected clear-sky intensification of cooling or measurement-site differences representing the main variables that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate a nighttime low near 25–26°C for Guangzhou on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and high humidity near 80–90 percent, consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome. Subtropical monsoon patterns and urban heat retention typically limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums close to the 1991–2020 average low of 24.2°C, though scattered showers may enhance cloud cover and moderate further drops. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow forecast spread alongside historical variability, where September 15 lows have ranged from the 19.8°C record to recent values near 23–25°C. Model consensus remains stable ahead of the day’s resolution, with any unexpected clear-sky intensification of cooling or measurement-site differences representing the main variables that could shift probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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