Recent forecasts for Qingdao on September 16 show model consensus around 26–30°C, with some runs reaching 28–30°C under southerly flow and partial cloud cover, yet Polymarket odds cluster near 30–32°C due to residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, variable low-level winds, and subtle differences in predicted cloud timing create the narrow spread between 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Historical September maxima near 27–29°C provide context, while upcoming ECMWF and GFS updates plus local observations will refine the peak reading used for market resolution. Trader positioning reflects this genuine short-range forecast variability rather than a single dominant signal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 16?
32°C 40%
33°C 25%
34°C 25%
31°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
8%
31°C
23%
32°C
34%
33°C
25%
34°C
25%
35°C or higher
8%
32°C 40%
33°C 25%
34°C 25%
31°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$8 Vol.
6%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C
$63 Vol.
23%
32°C
$29 Vol.
34%
33°C
$0 Vol.
25%
34°C
$0 Vol.
25%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao on September 16 show model consensus around 26–30°C, with some runs reaching 28–30°C under southerly flow and partial cloud cover, yet Polymarket odds cluster near 30–32°C due to residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, variable low-level winds, and subtle differences in predicted cloud timing create the narrow spread between 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Historical September maxima near 27–29°C provide context, while upcoming ECMWF and GFS updates plus local observations will refine the peak reading used for market resolution. Trader positioning reflects this genuine short-range forecast variability rather than a single dominant signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$105Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao on September 16 show model consensus around 26–30°C, with some runs reaching 28–30°C under southerly flow and partial cloud cover, yet Polymarket odds cluster near 30–32°C due to residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, variable low-level winds, and subtle differences in predicted cloud timing create the narrow spread between 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Historical September maxima near 27–29°C provide context, while upcoming ECMWF and GFS updates plus local observations will refine the peak reading used for market resolution. Trader positioning reflects this genuine short-range forecast variability rather than a single dominant signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$105Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao on September 16 show model consensus around 26–30°C, with some runs reaching 28–30°C under southerly flow and partial cloud cover, yet Polymarket odds cluster near 30–32°C due to residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, variable low-level winds, and subtle differences in predicted cloud timing create the narrow spread between 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Historical September maxima near 27–29°C provide context, while upcoming ECMWF and GFS updates plus local observations will refine the peak reading used for market resolution. Trader positioning reflects this genuine short-range forecast variability rather than a single dominant signal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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