Recent forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models show a high near 14°C in Wellington on September 14 under a strengthening ridge of high pressure, northerly winds of 10–20 knots, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors daytime warming but is tempered by typical spring sea-breeze effects and the city’s exposed coastal topography. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 15°C and 16°C reflects lingering uncertainty in model consensus on peak timing, exact wind shift, and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below align with the current guidance. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as surface observations and ensemble spreads are incorporated.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
14°C 11%
13°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
10%
14°C
11%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
9%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
7%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
14°C 11%
13°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
10°C
$0 Vol.
4%
11°C
$0 Vol.
4%
12°C
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$47 Vol.
11%
15°C
$209 Vol.
40%
16°C
$12 Vol.
40%
17°C
$131 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models show a high near 14°C in Wellington on September 14 under a strengthening ridge of high pressure, northerly winds of 10–20 knots, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors daytime warming but is tempered by typical spring sea-breeze effects and the city’s exposed coastal topography. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 15°C and 16°C reflects lingering uncertainty in model consensus on peak timing, exact wind shift, and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below align with the current guidance. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as surface observations and ensemble spreads are incorporated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$399Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models show a high near 14°C in Wellington on September 14 under a strengthening ridge of high pressure, northerly winds of 10–20 knots, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors daytime warming but is tempered by typical spring sea-breeze effects and the city’s exposed coastal topography. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 15°C and 16°C reflects lingering uncertainty in model consensus on peak timing, exact wind shift, and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below align with the current guidance. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as surface observations and ensemble spreads are incorporated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$399Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models show a high near 14°C in Wellington on September 14 under a strengthening ridge of high pressure, northerly winds of 10–20 knots, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors daytime warming but is tempered by typical spring sea-breeze effects and the city’s exposed coastal topography. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 15°C and 16°C reflects lingering uncertainty in model consensus on peak timing, exact wind shift, and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below align with the current guidance. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as surface observations and ensemble spreads are incorporated.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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