Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Beijing on September 14 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and a strengthening high-pressure system. This reflects the seasonal shift toward autumn, with northerly flow advecting drier continental air that limits moisture and cloud cover while moderating peak heating compared to summer peaks. Recent observations show consistent highs in the mid- to upper-20s°C amid stable conditions, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26.7°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes likely incorporates minor model spread and potential urban heat influences, with new forecast updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on September 14?
28°C 45%
27°C 33%
29°C 11%
26°C 10%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
33%
28°C
45%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 45%
27°C 33%
29°C 11%
26°C 10%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
33%
28°C
45%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Beijing on September 14 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and a strengthening high-pressure system. This reflects the seasonal shift toward autumn, with northerly flow advecting drier continental air that limits moisture and cloud cover while moderating peak heating compared to summer peaks. Recent observations show consistent highs in the mid- to upper-20s°C amid stable conditions, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26.7°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes likely incorporates minor model spread and potential urban heat influences, with new forecast updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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