Recent forecasts from models aligned with Météo-France and international guidance indicate highest temperatures in Paris on September 11 near seasonal norms of 22–24°C, driven by a persistent anticyclone over northern France promoting stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and minimal diurnal warming. Historical data show an average high of 22.1°C for the date, with recent observations from September 9–10 holding around 21–22°C amid typical early-autumn Atlantic flow. Trader consensus favoring 24°C (35%) and 23°C (20.5%) reflects this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 25°C+ account for limited upside potential absent warmer advection. Updated runs expected within 48 hours could refine steering patterns and cloud cover ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on September 11?
24°C 35%
23°C 21%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
21%
24°C
35%
25°C
18%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 35%
23°C 21%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
21%
24°C
35%
25°C
18%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models aligned with Météo-France and international guidance indicate highest temperatures in Paris on September 11 near seasonal norms of 22–24°C, driven by a persistent anticyclone over northern France promoting stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and minimal diurnal warming. Historical data show an average high of 22.1°C for the date, with recent observations from September 9–10 holding around 21–22°C amid typical early-autumn Atlantic flow. Trader consensus favoring 24°C (35%) and 23°C (20.5%) reflects this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 25°C+ account for limited upside potential absent warmer advection. Updated runs expected within 48 hours could refine steering patterns and cloud cover ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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