Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to highs of 82–87°F in New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This consensus underpins the 57.5% market-implied probability on 84–85°F and 35.5% on 82–83°F, as traders weigh consistent ensemble runs against typical late-summer variability. Minor model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing leaves room for slight upward revisions, but no strong warm advection or clear-sky signals support higher brackets. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on September 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 9?
84-85°F 57%
82-83°F 36%
86-87°F 5%
80-81°F 4%
BARU
$18,283 Vol.
BARU
$18,283 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
57%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 57%
82-83°F 36%
86-87°F 5%
80-81°F 4%
BARU
$18,283 Vol.
BARU
$18,283 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
75°F or below
$440 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$402 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$791 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,963 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$3,127 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$5,124 Vol.
57%
86-87°F
$3,810 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$993 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$496 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$502 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$635 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to highs of 82–87°F in New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This consensus underpins the 57.5% market-implied probability on 84–85°F and 35.5% on 82–83°F, as traders weigh consistent ensemble runs against typical late-summer variability. Minor model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing leaves room for slight upward revisions, but no strong warm advection or clear-sky signals support higher brackets. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Volume
$18,283Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to highs of 82–87°F in New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This consensus underpins the 57.5% market-implied probability on 84–85°F and 35.5% on 82–83°F, as traders weigh consistent ensemble runs against typical late-summer variability. Minor model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing leaves room for slight upward revisions, but no strong warm advection or clear-sky signals support higher brackets. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,283Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to highs of 82–87°F in New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This consensus underpins the 57.5% market-implied probability on 84–85°F and 35.5% on 82–83°F, as traders weigh consistent ensemble runs against typical late-summer variability. Minor model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing leaves room for slight upward revisions, but no strong warm advection or clear-sky signals support higher brackets. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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