Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains has sustained above-average heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 9 projecting a sunny high near 99–101°F under light southerly flow and heat indices reaching 105°F. This aligns with the recent multi-day stretch of 100°F+ readings driven by clear skies and minimal cloud cover, well above the 91.5°F climatological average. Model consensus shows little change through the period, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. The market-implied 61.5% probability on 100–101°F and 28.5% on 98–99°F reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside risk from the current pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on September 9?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 9?
100-101°F 62%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
62%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 62%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
89°F or below
$216 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$55 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$172 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$75 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$572 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$3,945 Vol.
29%
100-101°F
$2,385 Vol.
62%
102-103°F
$374 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$132 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$229 Vol.
2%
108°F or higher
$161 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains has sustained above-average heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 9 projecting a sunny high near 99–101°F under light southerly flow and heat indices reaching 105°F. This aligns with the recent multi-day stretch of 100°F+ readings driven by clear skies and minimal cloud cover, well above the 91.5°F climatological average. Model consensus shows little change through the period, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. The market-implied 61.5% probability on 100–101°F and 28.5% on 98–99°F reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside risk from the current pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,317Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains has sustained above-average heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 9 projecting a sunny high near 99–101°F under light southerly flow and heat indices reaching 105°F. This aligns with the recent multi-day stretch of 100°F+ readings driven by clear skies and minimal cloud cover, well above the 91.5°F climatological average. Model consensus shows little change through the period, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. The market-implied 61.5% probability on 100–101°F and 28.5% on 98–99°F reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside risk from the current pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,317Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains has sustained above-average heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 9 projecting a sunny high near 99–101°F under light southerly flow and heat indices reaching 105°F. This aligns with the recent multi-day stretch of 100°F+ readings driven by clear skies and minimal cloud cover, well above the 91.5°F climatological average. Model consensus shows little change through the period, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. The market-implied 61.5% probability on 100–101°F and 28.5% on 98–99°F reflects this narrow forecast range and limited upside risk from the current pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan