Forecast guidance for Austin points to a July 29 daily high most likely near 98–99°F, matching the market’s leading implied probability. Late-July climatology shows normal highs around 96–97°F as the hot season peaks, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies favoring readings in the upper 90s. Recent regional conditions have featured consistent mid-to-upper-90s temperatures and elevated heat indices, though short-term National Weather Service model updates could nudge outcomes toward 96–97°F or 100–101°F depending on cloud cover or subtle steering changes. Historical variability around the seasonal mean supports the tight clustering of trader consensus on these central bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on July 29?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 29?
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 17%
102-103°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Jul 29, 2026
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 17%
102-103°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Jul 29, 2026
93°F or below
$578 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$319 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$1,553 Vol.
25%
98-99°F
$3,661 Vol.
53%
100-101°F
$629 Vol.
17%
102-103°F
$468 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$340 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$330 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$426 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$529 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$382 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast guidance for Austin points to a July 29 daily high most likely near 98–99°F, matching the market’s leading implied probability. Late-July climatology shows normal highs around 96–97°F as the hot season peaks, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies favoring readings in the upper 90s. Recent regional conditions have featured consistent mid-to-upper-90s temperatures and elevated heat indices, though short-term National Weather Service model updates could nudge outcomes toward 96–97°F or 100–101°F depending on cloud cover or subtle steering changes. Historical variability around the seasonal mean supports the tight clustering of trader consensus on these central bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Volume
$9,215Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast guidance for Austin points to a July 29 daily high most likely near 98–99°F, matching the market’s leading implied probability. Late-July climatology shows normal highs around 96–97°F as the hot season peaks, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies favoring readings in the upper 90s. Recent regional conditions have featured consistent mid-to-upper-90s temperatures and elevated heat indices, though short-term National Weather Service model updates could nudge outcomes toward 96–97°F or 100–101°F depending on cloud cover or subtle steering changes. Historical variability around the seasonal mean supports the tight clustering of trader consensus on these central bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,215Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast guidance for Austin points to a July 29 daily high most likely near 98–99°F, matching the market’s leading implied probability. Late-July climatology shows normal highs around 96–97°F as the hot season peaks, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies favoring readings in the upper 90s. Recent regional conditions have featured consistent mid-to-upper-90s temperatures and elevated heat indices, though short-term National Weather Service model updates could nudge outcomes toward 96–97°F or 100–101°F depending on cloud cover or subtle steering changes. Historical variability around the seasonal mean supports the tight clustering of trader consensus on these central bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan