Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting confirmed peak readings of 24°C at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, the market's official resolution source per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Cloudy skies, northerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and a recent cool air mass have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with updated CMA hourly observations that peaked mid-afternoon before a sharp evening drop to the mid-teens. This positioning matches ensemble forecast models from CMA and global systems, showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision uncovering a higher outlier reading from station sensors—unlikely given synchronized reports—or microclimatic urban heat effects exceeding models, though current trends confirm stability as the resolution window closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on May 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 2?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$102,156 Vol.
$102,156 Vol.
May 2, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$102,156 Vol.
$102,156 Vol.
May 2, 2026
21°C or below
$10,707 Vol.
No
22°C
$17,184 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,008 Vol.
No
24°C
$14,984 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$13,619 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,659 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,790 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,295 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,593 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,877 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$2,440 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting confirmed peak readings of 24°C at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, the market's official resolution source per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Cloudy skies, northerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and a recent cool air mass have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with updated CMA hourly observations that peaked mid-afternoon before a sharp evening drop to the mid-teens. This positioning matches ensemble forecast models from CMA and global systems, showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision uncovering a higher outlier reading from station sensors—unlikely given synchronized reports—or microclimatic urban heat effects exceeding models, though current trends confirm stability as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$102,156Tanggal Berakhir
May 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting confirmed peak readings of 24°C at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, the market's official resolution source per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Cloudy skies, northerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and a recent cool air mass have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with updated CMA hourly observations that peaked mid-afternoon before a sharp evening drop to the mid-teens. This positioning matches ensemble forecast models from CMA and global systems, showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision uncovering a higher outlier reading from station sensors—unlikely given synchronized reports—or microclimatic urban heat effects exceeding models, though current trends confirm stability as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$102,156Tanggal Berakhir
May 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting confirmed peak readings of 24°C at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, the market's official resolution source per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Cloudy skies, northerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and a recent cool air mass have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with updated CMA hourly observations that peaked mid-afternoon before a sharp evening drop to the mid-teens. This positioning matches ensemble forecast models from CMA and global systems, showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision uncovering a higher outlier reading from station sensors—unlikely given synchronized reports—or microclimatic urban heat effects exceeding models, though current trends confirm stability as the resolution window closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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