**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 8 maximum temperature centers on 18–20°C outcomes because these align closely with July climatology and short-term ensemble guidance showing typical winter conditions.** Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily ranges commonly spanning 14–19°C according to long-term records and 2026 monthly outlooks. Modest warming potential exists if clearer skies boost daytime insolation or lighter winds reduce mixing, which helps explain why 18°C leads at 33% implied probability while 19°C and 20°C follow at 26% and 20.5%. The tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in variables such as cloud timing, wind strength, and subtle steering-pattern shifts that routinely swing the daily high by 1–2°C. No strong seasonal anomalies appear in current data, anchoring probabilities to historical distributions rather than extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 8?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 8?
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$55,355 Vol.
$55,355 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$55,355 Vol.
$55,355 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
12°C or below
$3,993 Vol.
No
13°C
$2,640 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,556 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,690 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,526 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,782 Vol.
No
18°C
$8,722 Vol.
No
19°C
$12,326 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$6,565 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,112 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$2,444 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 8 maximum temperature centers on 18–20°C outcomes because these align closely with July climatology and short-term ensemble guidance showing typical winter conditions.** Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily ranges commonly spanning 14–19°C according to long-term records and 2026 monthly outlooks. Modest warming potential exists if clearer skies boost daytime insolation or lighter winds reduce mixing, which helps explain why 18°C leads at 33% implied probability while 19°C and 20°C follow at 26% and 20.5%. The tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in variables such as cloud timing, wind strength, and subtle steering-pattern shifts that routinely swing the daily high by 1–2°C. No strong seasonal anomalies appear in current data, anchoring probabilities to historical distributions rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$55,355Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 8 maximum temperature centers on 18–20°C outcomes because these align closely with July climatology and short-term ensemble guidance showing typical winter conditions.** Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily ranges commonly spanning 14–19°C according to long-term records and 2026 monthly outlooks. Modest warming potential exists if clearer skies boost daytime insolation or lighter winds reduce mixing, which helps explain why 18°C leads at 33% implied probability while 19°C and 20°C follow at 26% and 20.5%. The tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in variables such as cloud timing, wind strength, and subtle steering-pattern shifts that routinely swing the daily high by 1–2°C. No strong seasonal anomalies appear in current data, anchoring probabilities to historical distributions rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,355Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 8 maximum temperature centers on 18–20°C outcomes because these align closely with July climatology and short-term ensemble guidance showing typical winter conditions.** Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily ranges commonly spanning 14–19°C according to long-term records and 2026 monthly outlooks. Modest warming potential exists if clearer skies boost daytime insolation or lighter winds reduce mixing, which helps explain why 18°C leads at 33% implied probability while 19°C and 20°C follow at 26% and 20.5%. The tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in variables such as cloud timing, wind strength, and subtle steering-pattern shifts that routinely swing the daily high by 1–2°C. No strong seasonal anomalies appear in current data, anchoring probabilities to historical distributions rather than extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan