Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Istanbul on July 25, 2026, with highs most likely in the 22–24°C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a northerly flow suppressing the typical late-July peak. Seasonal baselines show afternoon maxima near 28–30°C under clear, stable high pressure, but current guidance highlights a transient Atlantic or Black Sea influence introducing moisture and moderating temperatures. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C (42.5%) and 22°C (31%), while probabilities for 25°C+ remain low due to limited warming potential before the system departs. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima and any land-sea breeze effects.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 25?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 25?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$61,165 Vol.
$61,165 Vol.
Jul 25, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$61,165 Vol.
$61,165 Vol.
Jul 25, 2026
18°C or below
$964 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,475 Vol.
No
20°C
$788 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,808 Vol.
No
22°C
$14,668 Vol.
No
23°C
$15,669 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$11,944 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,353 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,383 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,626 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$3,487 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Istanbul on July 25, 2026, with highs most likely in the 22–24°C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a northerly flow suppressing the typical late-July peak. Seasonal baselines show afternoon maxima near 28–30°C under clear, stable high pressure, but current guidance highlights a transient Atlantic or Black Sea influence introducing moisture and moderating temperatures. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C (42.5%) and 22°C (31%), while probabilities for 25°C+ remain low due to limited warming potential before the system departs. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima and any land-sea breeze effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$61,165Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Istanbul on July 25, 2026, with highs most likely in the 22–24°C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a northerly flow suppressing the typical late-July peak. Seasonal baselines show afternoon maxima near 28–30°C under clear, stable high pressure, but current guidance highlights a transient Atlantic or Black Sea influence introducing moisture and moderating temperatures. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C (42.5%) and 22°C (31%), while probabilities for 25°C+ remain low due to limited warming potential before the system departs. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima and any land-sea breeze effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,165Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Istanbul on July 25, 2026, with highs most likely in the 22–24°C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a northerly flow suppressing the typical late-July peak. Seasonal baselines show afternoon maxima near 28–30°C under clear, stable high pressure, but current guidance highlights a transient Atlantic or Black Sea influence introducing moisture and moderating temperatures. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C (42.5%) and 22°C (31%), while probabilities for 25°C+ remain low due to limited warming potential before the system departs. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima and any land-sea breeze effects.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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