**Forecast models and regional heatwave conditions currently anchor trader sentiment around 38–39°C for Chengdu’s July 20 high.** Short-range guidance from sources such as timeanddate and regional outlooks points to sunny skies and highs of 37–38°C (99–100°F) on the 19th–20th, while broader July climatology and recent Sichuan basin readings—including Chongqing’s 40°C reading earlier in the month—support the slim edge for 39°C. Chengdu’s enclosed topography and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and can amplify daytime maxima under clear, subsiding air. Model ensembles show modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and wind timing, keeping 37°C and 40°C as close secondary outcomes. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next updated runs from national meteorological centers will likely tighten probabilities further.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 20?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 20?
38°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$69,409 Vol.
$69,409 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$69,409 Vol.
$69,409 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
34°C or below
$2,495 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,045 Vol.
No
36°C
$9,202 Vol.
No
37°C
$9,647 Vol.
No
38°C
$12,377 Vol.
Yes
39°C
$6,504 Vol.
No
40°C
$9,676 Vol.
No
41°C
$6,092 Vol.
No
42°C
$1,461 Vol.
No
43°C
$1,822 Vol.
No
44°C or higher
$8,088 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and regional heatwave conditions currently anchor trader sentiment around 38–39°C for Chengdu’s July 20 high.** Short-range guidance from sources such as timeanddate and regional outlooks points to sunny skies and highs of 37–38°C (99–100°F) on the 19th–20th, while broader July climatology and recent Sichuan basin readings—including Chongqing’s 40°C reading earlier in the month—support the slim edge for 39°C. Chengdu’s enclosed topography and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and can amplify daytime maxima under clear, subsiding air. Model ensembles show modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and wind timing, keeping 37°C and 40°C as close secondary outcomes. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next updated runs from national meteorological centers will likely tighten probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$69,409Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and regional heatwave conditions currently anchor trader sentiment around 38–39°C for Chengdu’s July 20 high.** Short-range guidance from sources such as timeanddate and regional outlooks points to sunny skies and highs of 37–38°C (99–100°F) on the 19th–20th, while broader July climatology and recent Sichuan basin readings—including Chongqing’s 40°C reading earlier in the month—support the slim edge for 39°C. Chengdu’s enclosed topography and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and can amplify daytime maxima under clear, subsiding air. Model ensembles show modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and wind timing, keeping 37°C and 40°C as close secondary outcomes. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next updated runs from national meteorological centers will likely tighten probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,409Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Forecast models and regional heatwave conditions currently anchor trader sentiment around 38–39°C for Chengdu’s July 20 high.** Short-range guidance from sources such as timeanddate and regional outlooks points to sunny skies and highs of 37–38°C (99–100°F) on the 19th–20th, while broader July climatology and recent Sichuan basin readings—including Chongqing’s 40°C reading earlier in the month—support the slim edge for 39°C. Chengdu’s enclosed topography and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and can amplify daytime maxima under clear, subsiding air. Model ensembles show modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and wind timing, keeping 37°C and 40°C as close secondary outcomes. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next updated runs from national meteorological centers will likely tighten probabilities further.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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