Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Chicago on July 26 centers on daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market's tight clustering around 88–93°F reflecting modest spread in forecast solutions. Key variables include the strength and position of a surface ridge, boundary-layer moisture content, and any afternoon convective development that could enhance cloud cover and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, while current steering patterns and lack of strong warm advection limit upside potential beyond the mid-90s. Traders are weighting official station readings at Midway or O’Hare, where even small shifts in timing of any showers or breaks in cloud cover could move the outcome between the leading brackets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on July 26?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 26?
90-91°F 30%
92-93°F 23%
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 17%
BARU
BARU
Jul 26, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 30%
92-93°F 23%
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 17%
BARU
BARU
Jul 26, 2026
85°F or below
$231 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,083 Vol.
17%
88-89°F
$583 Vol.
22%
90-91°F
$179 Vol.
30%
92-93°F
$206 Vol.
23%
94-95°F
$186 Vol.
12%
96-97°F
$491 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$587 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$431 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$243 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$380 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Chicago on July 26 centers on daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market's tight clustering around 88–93°F reflecting modest spread in forecast solutions. Key variables include the strength and position of a surface ridge, boundary-layer moisture content, and any afternoon convective development that could enhance cloud cover and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, while current steering patterns and lack of strong warm advection limit upside potential beyond the mid-90s. Traders are weighting official station readings at Midway or O’Hare, where even small shifts in timing of any showers or breaks in cloud cover could move the outcome between the leading brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,602Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Chicago on July 26 centers on daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market's tight clustering around 88–93°F reflecting modest spread in forecast solutions. Key variables include the strength and position of a surface ridge, boundary-layer moisture content, and any afternoon convective development that could enhance cloud cover and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, while current steering patterns and lack of strong warm advection limit upside potential beyond the mid-90s. Traders are weighting official station readings at Midway or O’Hare, where even small shifts in timing of any showers or breaks in cloud cover could move the outcome between the leading brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,602Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Chicago on July 26 centers on daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market's tight clustering around 88–93°F reflecting modest spread in forecast solutions. Key variables include the strength and position of a surface ridge, boundary-layer moisture content, and any afternoon convective development that could enhance cloud cover and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, while current steering patterns and lack of strong warm advection limit upside potential beyond the mid-90s. Traders are weighting official station readings at Midway or O’Hare, where even small shifts in timing of any showers or breaks in cloud cover could move the outcome between the leading brackets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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