Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 17?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$214,726 Vol.
$214,726 Vol.
Jul 17, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$214,726 Vol.
$214,726 Vol.
Jul 17, 2026
31°C or below
$39,492 Vol.
No
32°C
$27,708 Vol.
No
33°C
$40,124 Vol.
No
34°C
$34,826 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$10,964 Vol.
No
36°C
$12,565 Vol.
No
37°C
$15,894 Vol.
No
38°C
$18,963 Vol.
No
39°C
$11,476 Vol.
No
40°C
$1,879 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$832 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$214,726Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$214,726Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent heatwave conditions in Chongqing, with the city recording its first 40°C day on July 10, have elevated baseline temperatures, yet short-term forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate moderating influences for July 17. Model runs show potential for scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which could limit peak solar insolation and cap the daily maximum near 33–36°C. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds around 34°C and 35°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective activity, humidity levels, and steering winds that determine whether the region achieves or falls short of higher thresholds. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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