Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 25 clustered around 33–36°C because short-range model runs show modest day-to-day variability in cloud cover and afternoon thundershower timing. In the city’s humid subtropical monsoon regime, even brief heavy rain or thicker cloud decks can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals allow urban heat-island effects to push values toward 36–37°C. Recent ensemble guidance from regional centers indicates 30–60% probability of measurable precipitation during the afternoon window, keeping the distribution broad rather than favoring any single threshold. Updated model cycles and official observatory guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and moisture profiles become clearer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 25?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$99,924 Vol.
$99,924 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$99,924 Vol.
$99,924 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 25 clustered around 33–36°C because short-range model runs show modest day-to-day variability in cloud cover and afternoon thundershower timing. In the city’s humid subtropical monsoon regime, even brief heavy rain or thicker cloud decks can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals allow urban heat-island effects to push values toward 36–37°C. Recent ensemble guidance from regional centers indicates 30–60% probability of measurable precipitation during the afternoon window, keeping the distribution broad rather than favoring any single threshold. Updated model cycles and official observatory guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range as steering patterns and moisture profiles become clearer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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