**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 21, 2026, point to a high near 32–34°C amid increasing instability.** Multiple models, including runs referenced by WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and local meteorological services, show highs of 31–34°C (roughly 88–93°F) as moisture and cloud cover increase, with 60–75% chances of showers or thunderstorms. This follows hotter conditions on September 19–20, when subtropical high pressure supported clearer skies and peaks near 35–36°C. Precipitation and reduced insolation from afternoon convection are the main factors capping the maximum, with historical September averages around 31.5°C providing context. Model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C, as even modest differences in cloud cover or storm timing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or new ECMWF/GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
36°C 33%
35°C 24%
34°C 21%
37°C or higher 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
21%
35°C
24%
36°C
33%
37°C or higher
15%
36°C 33%
35°C 24%
34°C 21%
37°C or higher 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$8 Vol.
3%
32°C
$29 Vol.
4%
33°C
$5 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
21%
35°C
$40 Vol.
24%
36°C
$164 Vol.
33%
37°C or higher
$221 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 21, 2026, point to a high near 32–34°C amid increasing instability.** Multiple models, including runs referenced by WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and local meteorological services, show highs of 31–34°C (roughly 88–93°F) as moisture and cloud cover increase, with 60–75% chances of showers or thunderstorms. This follows hotter conditions on September 19–20, when subtropical high pressure supported clearer skies and peaks near 35–36°C.
Precipitation and reduced insolation from afternoon convection are the main factors capping the maximum, with historical September averages around 31.5°C providing context. Model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C, as even modest differences in cloud cover or storm timing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or new ECMWF/GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$956Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 21, 2026, point to a high near 32–34°C amid increasing instability.** Multiple models, including runs referenced by WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and local meteorological services, show highs of 31–34°C (roughly 88–93°F) as moisture and cloud cover increase, with 60–75% chances of showers or thunderstorms. This follows hotter conditions on September 19–20, when subtropical high pressure supported clearer skies and peaks near 35–36°C.
Precipitation and reduced insolation from afternoon convection are the main factors capping the maximum, with historical September averages around 31.5°C providing context. Model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C, as even modest differences in cloud cover or storm timing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or new ECMWF/GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$956Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 21, 2026, point to a high near 32–34°C amid increasing instability.** Multiple models, including runs referenced by WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and local meteorological services, show highs of 31–34°C (roughly 88–93°F) as moisture and cloud cover increase, with 60–75% chances of showers or thunderstorms. This follows hotter conditions on September 19–20, when subtropical high pressure supported clearer skies and peaks near 35–36°C. Precipitation and reduced insolation from afternoon convection are the main factors capping the maximum, with historical September averages around 31.5°C providing context. Model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C, as even modest differences in cloud cover or storm timing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or new ECMWF/GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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