Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on July 19?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$27,233 Vol.
$27,233 Vol.
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$27,233 Vol.
$27,233 Vol.
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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