Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate Houston highs on June 25 will most likely reach 92–93 °F, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 93 °F for that date and the current market-implied probability of 39.5 %. Persistent southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico is maintaining typical late-June humidity and heat, with limited cloud cover expected to allow full diurnal heating. Ensemble consensus shows only modest spread around this value, driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convection potential rather than any large-scale pattern shift. The secondary 90–91 °F bin (27.5 %) captures scenarios with slightly more morning cloud or seabreeze influence, while probabilities drop sharply above 94 °F because no strong upper-level ridge or downslope warming is forecast. Updated NWS model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on June 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 25?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$45,309 Vol.
$45,309 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$45,309 Vol.
$45,309 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
81°F or below
$15,210 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,676 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,050 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,643 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$3,035 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$5,244 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$6,716 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$2,750 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$3,270 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,971 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$1,744 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate Houston highs on June 25 will most likely reach 92–93 °F, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 93 °F for that date and the current market-implied probability of 39.5 %. Persistent southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico is maintaining typical late-June humidity and heat, with limited cloud cover expected to allow full diurnal heating. Ensemble consensus shows only modest spread around this value, driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convection potential rather than any large-scale pattern shift. The secondary 90–91 °F bin (27.5 %) captures scenarios with slightly more morning cloud or seabreeze influence, while probabilities drop sharply above 94 °F because no strong upper-level ridge or downslope warming is forecast. Updated NWS model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$45,309Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate Houston highs on June 25 will most likely reach 92–93 °F, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 93 °F for that date and the current market-implied probability of 39.5 %. Persistent southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico is maintaining typical late-June humidity and heat, with limited cloud cover expected to allow full diurnal heating. Ensemble consensus shows only modest spread around this value, driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convection potential rather than any large-scale pattern shift. The secondary 90–91 °F bin (27.5 %) captures scenarios with slightly more morning cloud or seabreeze influence, while probabilities drop sharply above 94 °F because no strong upper-level ridge or downslope warming is forecast. Updated NWS model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,309Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate Houston highs on June 25 will most likely reach 92–93 °F, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 93 °F for that date and the current market-implied probability of 39.5 %. Persistent southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico is maintaining typical late-June humidity and heat, with limited cloud cover expected to allow full diurnal heating. Ensemble consensus shows only modest spread around this value, driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convection potential rather than any large-scale pattern shift. The secondary 90–91 °F bin (27.5 %) captures scenarios with slightly more morning cloud or seabreeze influence, while probabilities drop sharply above 94 °F because no strong upper-level ridge or downslope warming is forecast. Updated NWS model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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