**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 28?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 28?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,896 Vol.
$53,896 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,896 Vol.
$53,896 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
9°C or below
$855 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,511 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,804 Vol.
No
12°C
$3,176 Vol.
No
13°C
$4,870 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$18,600 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,576 Vol.
No
16°C
$6,407 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,822 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,087 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$3,188 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$53,896Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,896Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan