Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 30?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 30?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,681 Vol.
$47,681 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,681 Vol.
$47,681 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
23°C or below
$574 Vol.
No
24°C
$862 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,378 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,696 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,451 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$11,323 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,006 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,268 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,845 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,137 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$1,140 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$47,681Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,681Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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