Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing dominates trader positioning for Lucknow’s July 22 high temperature, with market-implied odds clustered around 31–33 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range model runs show scattered convective activity expected over Uttar Pradesh, where rainfall timing and intensity directly suppress daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Drier scenarios allowing brief clear spells could push readings to 34 °C or higher, while stronger monsoon surges favor the lower end of the distribution. Historical July climatology for the region places typical daily highs near 33–35 °C, but active monsoon phases frequently trim 2–4 °C from those values. Updated model consensus and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 22?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 22?
32°C 35%
33°C 33%
31°C 18%
34°C or higher 12%
BARU
BARU
Jul 22, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
35%
33°C
33%
34°C or higher
12%
32°C 35%
33°C 33%
31°C 18%
34°C or higher 12%
BARU
BARU
Jul 22, 2026
24°C or below
$276 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$875 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,072 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$581 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$487 Vol.
1%
30°C
$569 Vol.
4%
31°C
$494 Vol.
18%
32°C
$1,335 Vol.
35%
33°C
$1,372 Vol.
33%
34°C or higher
$1,577 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing dominates trader positioning for Lucknow’s July 22 high temperature, with market-implied odds clustered around 31–33 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range model runs show scattered convective activity expected over Uttar Pradesh, where rainfall timing and intensity directly suppress daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Drier scenarios allowing brief clear spells could push readings to 34 °C or higher, while stronger monsoon surges favor the lower end of the distribution. Historical July climatology for the region places typical daily highs near 33–35 °C, but active monsoon phases frequently trim 2–4 °C from those values. Updated model consensus and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$8,905Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing dominates trader positioning for Lucknow’s July 22 high temperature, with market-implied odds clustered around 31–33 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range model runs show scattered convective activity expected over Uttar Pradesh, where rainfall timing and intensity directly suppress daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Drier scenarios allowing brief clear spells could push readings to 34 °C or higher, while stronger monsoon surges favor the lower end of the distribution. Historical July climatology for the region places typical daily highs near 33–35 °C, but active monsoon phases frequently trim 2–4 °C from those values. Updated model consensus and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,905Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon-driven variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing dominates trader positioning for Lucknow’s July 22 high temperature, with market-implied odds clustered around 31–33 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range model runs show scattered convective activity expected over Uttar Pradesh, where rainfall timing and intensity directly suppress daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Drier scenarios allowing brief clear spells could push readings to 34 °C or higher, while stronger monsoon surges favor the lower end of the distribution. Historical July climatology for the region places typical daily highs near 33–35 °C, but active monsoon phases frequently trim 2–4 °C from those values. Updated model consensus and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan