Official observations from Mexico City's Benito Juárez International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 27°C or higher, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) monitoring data amid partly sunny conditions, light winds, and seasonal warming trends, where April climatological averages hover around 26°C but frequently exceed 27°C due to high elevation solar heating and dry air masses. Forecasts from SMN and AccuWeather had anticipated peaks near 26°C, yet midday radiational heating pushed actuals higher. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in official SMN daily climatological bulletin, such as sensor recalibration deeming the peak 26°C exactly—unlikely given established measurement protocols.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 21?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,816 Vol.
$78,816 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,816 Vol.
$78,816 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 19, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official observations from Mexico City's Benito Juárez International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 27°C or higher, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) monitoring data amid partly sunny conditions, light winds, and seasonal warming trends, where April climatological averages hover around 26°C but frequently exceed 27°C due to high elevation solar heating and dry air masses. Forecasts from SMN and AccuWeather had anticipated peaks near 26°C, yet midday radiational heating pushed actuals higher. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in official SMN daily climatological bulletin, such as sensor recalibration deeming the peak 26°C exactly—unlikely given established measurement protocols.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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