Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on April 29?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$202,558 Vol.
$202,558 Vol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$202,558 Vol.
$202,558 Vol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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