Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on July 15?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 15?
28°C or below 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,498 Vol.
$91,498 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
28°C or below 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,498 Vol.
$91,498 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
28°C or below
$21,747 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$14,532 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,795 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,697 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,163 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,668 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,782 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,732 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,071 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,823 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$1,488 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$91,498Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91,498Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan