Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on July 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 16?
88-89°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$203,647 Vol.
$203,647 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$203,647 Vol.
$203,647 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
87°F or below
$74,911 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$24,233 Vol.
Yes
90-91°F
$23,192 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$27,433 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$17,194 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$16,855 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$10,273 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$4,412 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$2,770 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$2,130 Vol.
No
106°F or higher
$245 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$203,647Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$203,647Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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