National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on July 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 19?
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$140,562 Vol.
$140,562 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$140,562 Vol.
$140,562 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
73°F or below
$3,499 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$8,103 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$20,041 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$32,306 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$20,292 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$21,277 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$15,043 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$11,243 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$4,330 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$4,153 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$275 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$140,562Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$140,562Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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