**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 83°F for New York City on July 24, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light west winds and a modest chance of afternoon showers.** This places the highest temperature most likely in the 82–83°F or 84–85°F brackets, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47% and 26.5% respectively. After an early-July heat wave that produced a 100°F reading on July 2, a cooling trend has dominated mid-month, with recent days settling in the upper 70s to low 80s. Typical July climatology (average high ~84°F) is being tempered by onshore flow and limited instability, preventing significant warming while keeping readings above the cooler 80–81°F tier favored at only 17%. Model consensus shows low spread for this short-range period, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and any late-day convection that could shave a degree or two from the peak. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will provide the final data points before the market settles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on July 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 24?
82-83°F 47%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 23%
78-79°F 4.4%
BARU
BARU
Jul 24, 2026
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 47%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 23%
78-79°F 4.4%
BARU
BARU
Jul 24, 2026
77°F or below
$134 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$89 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$384 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$138 Vol.
47%
84-85°F
$110 Vol.
23%
86-87°F
$236 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$78 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$115 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$76 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$182 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 83°F for New York City on July 24, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light west winds and a modest chance of afternoon showers.** This places the highest temperature most likely in the 82–83°F or 84–85°F brackets, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47% and 26.5% respectively.
After an early-July heat wave that produced a 100°F reading on July 2, a cooling trend has dominated mid-month, with recent days settling in the upper 70s to low 80s. Typical July climatology (average high ~84°F) is being tempered by onshore flow and limited instability, preventing significant warming while keeping readings above the cooler 80–81°F tier favored at only 17%.
Model consensus shows low spread for this short-range period, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and any late-day convection that could shave a degree or two from the peak. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will provide the final data points before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,737Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 83°F for New York City on July 24, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light west winds and a modest chance of afternoon showers.** This places the highest temperature most likely in the 82–83°F or 84–85°F brackets, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47% and 26.5% respectively.
After an early-July heat wave that produced a 100°F reading on July 2, a cooling trend has dominated mid-month, with recent days settling in the upper 70s to low 80s. Typical July climatology (average high ~84°F) is being tempered by onshore flow and limited instability, preventing significant warming while keeping readings above the cooler 80–81°F tier favored at only 17%.
Model consensus shows low spread for this short-range period, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and any late-day convection that could shave a degree or two from the peak. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will provide the final data points before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,737Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project a daily maximum near 83°F for New York City on July 24, 2026, under partly sunny skies with light west winds and a modest chance of afternoon showers.** This places the highest temperature most likely in the 82–83°F or 84–85°F brackets, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 47% and 26.5% respectively. After an early-July heat wave that produced a 100°F reading on July 2, a cooling trend has dominated mid-month, with recent days settling in the upper 70s to low 80s. Typical July climatology (average high ~84°F) is being tempered by onshore flow and limited instability, preventing significant warming while keeping readings above the cooler 80–81°F tier favored at only 17%. Model consensus shows low spread for this short-range period, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and any late-day convection that could shave a degree or two from the peak. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model runs will provide the final data points before the market settles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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