Recent forecasts for Qingdao on July 1 point to daytime highs of 25–27°C under cloudy skies and moderate onshore flow, aligning with typical early-July conditions moderated by the Yellow Sea. This supports the clustered market probabilities across 26–29°C outcomes, while the 24.5% implied chance for 31°C or higher reflects residual model uncertainty around potential brief clearing or warmer advection from inland Shandong. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current patterns emphasize limited daytime heating due to persistent cloud cover and humidity near 80%. Updated numerical guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 1?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$124,684 Vol.
$124,684 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$124,684 Vol.
$124,684 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent forecasts for Qingdao on July 1 point to daytime highs of 25–27°C under cloudy skies and moderate onshore flow, aligning with typical early-July conditions moderated by the Yellow Sea. This supports the clustered market probabilities across 26–29°C outcomes, while the 24.5% implied chance for 31°C or higher reflects residual model uncertainty around potential brief clearing or warmer advection from inland Shandong. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current patterns emphasize limited daytime heating due to persistent cloud cover and humidity near 80%. Updated numerical guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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