Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 20?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 20?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$48,921 Vol.
$48,921 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$48,921 Vol.
$48,921 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
23°C or below
$257 Vol.
No
24°C
$267 Vol.
No
25°C
$677 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,911 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,701 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,208 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,332 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$5,798 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,864 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,764 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$9,141 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$48,921Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,921Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan