Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 71°F on June 5 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure that suppressed the typical marine-layer cooling. This outcome aligns with early-June climatology, where highs commonly reach the upper 60s to low 70s, and short-range forecast models showed strong consensus around 71°F with minimal spread. The near-100% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher therefore reflects verified post-event data rather than projection. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or thicker afternoon stratus could have lowered the peak, but those conditions did not develop.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 5?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$17,181 Vol.
$17,181 Vol.
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$17,181 Vol.
$17,181 Vol.
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 71°F on June 5 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure that suppressed the typical marine-layer cooling. This outcome aligns with early-June climatology, where highs commonly reach the upper 60s to low 70s, and short-range forecast models showed strong consensus around 71°F with minimal spread. The near-100% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher therefore reflects verified post-event data rather than projection. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or thicker afternoon stratus could have lowered the peak, but those conditions did not develop.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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