Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C high in Sao Paulo on August 16, with notable support for 27°C and 29°C, consistent with winter-season model consensus showing stable atmospheric conditions. Southerly flow and a lack of strong subtropical ridging are limiting daytime warming, keeping forecasts clustered near the long-term August average for the city. Recent ensemble runs from global models indicate low variability and no significant warm-air advection expected overnight, narrowing the likely range. Updated guidance from Brazilian meteorological agencies or the next cycle of ECMWF and GFS data releases could refine these odds if steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 16?
28°C 42%
29°C 25%
27°C 22%
26°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
22%
28°C
42%
29°C
25%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 25%
27°C 22%
26°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$104 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$21 Vol.
1%
24°C
$62 Vol.
1%
25°C
$60 Vol.
2%
26°C
$537 Vol.
6%
27°C
$181 Vol.
22%
28°C
$64 Vol.
42%
29°C
$213 Vol.
25%
30°C
$29 Vol.
6%
31°C
$31 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$118 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C high in Sao Paulo on August 16, with notable support for 27°C and 29°C, consistent with winter-season model consensus showing stable atmospheric conditions. Southerly flow and a lack of strong subtropical ridging are limiting daytime warming, keeping forecasts clustered near the long-term August average for the city. Recent ensemble runs from global models indicate low variability and no significant warm-air advection expected overnight, narrowing the likely range. Updated guidance from Brazilian meteorological agencies or the next cycle of ECMWF and GFS data releases could refine these odds if steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,420Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C high in Sao Paulo on August 16, with notable support for 27°C and 29°C, consistent with winter-season model consensus showing stable atmospheric conditions. Southerly flow and a lack of strong subtropical ridging are limiting daytime warming, keeping forecasts clustered near the long-term August average for the city. Recent ensemble runs from global models indicate low variability and no significant warm-air advection expected overnight, narrowing the likely range. Updated guidance from Brazilian meteorological agencies or the next cycle of ECMWF and GFS data releases could refine these odds if steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,420Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C high in Sao Paulo on August 16, with notable support for 27°C and 29°C, consistent with winter-season model consensus showing stable atmospheric conditions. Southerly flow and a lack of strong subtropical ridging are limiting daytime warming, keeping forecasts clustered near the long-term August average for the city. Recent ensemble runs from global models indicate low variability and no significant warm-air advection expected overnight, narrowing the likely range. Updated guidance from Brazilian meteorological agencies or the next cycle of ECMWF and GFS data releases could refine these odds if steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan